I’m getting the issue much more frequently for a few days now. While it was around 1/5 boots, it seems to be more like 2/3 of boots now. No idea what changed, but tade0 above also said they were experiencing it regularly now, so maybe some piece of software changed that triggers it more often?
I know I did not update firmware recently, but of course I’m running daily system updates. Fedora 44, Linux 7.1.5-201 now.