Since none of us have access to Framework’s finances, it’s hard to say they definitely won’t go out of business before the end of your warranty, but, that seems pretty unlikely given how many batches of Framework 16 laptop pre-orders are they into now? (I saw a guy say he’s batch 14 a few threads over)
That and they are four generations of Framework 13 motherboards in.
You’re more likely to encounter support challenges from growing pains and explosive popularity than from them shutting their doors. Or at least that’s the impression I get at the moment.
There’s another angle though. How cost-effective is your hypothetical out-of-warranty repair for your alternative laptop? That comes down to how strategic your purchase is, more than anything else. Does your big-name laptop have modular WiFi, RAM, and SSDs instead of soldered-down components? Did you buy a very common model? How far out of warranty are you, and where’s the repair-vs-buy-used cost ratio? And would failures be more common in socketed components vs. something on the motherboard where you’d need component-level repair? The big brand name isn’t a slam dunk for cost-effective repair out of warranty, is my point, and you could come up with hypothetical scenarios where you’re still ahead with the Framework because it’s as modular as it reasonably can be, which is a lot less common than it used to be in laptops, even in some desktops.
Even in the worst case, some motherboard failure happens on the Framework 16 say two years out, at least your hypothetical component repair person will have schematics, and availability of motherboards probably isn’t zero on the used market. You could probably do better with some Dell … Inspiron? with all socketed components (if they make those? I dunno…), so that you could find a used motherboard in working condition, but that’s not a very comparable laptop. There is no comparable modular gaming laptop right now. You could get similar modularity and performance for higher costs from a workstation laptop, but… that doesn’t make cost sense today, right?
Say your hypothetical non-Framework gaming laptop has a graphics card problem a couple years out, vs. the Framework 16, with Framework being out of business. You’re probably in the same position in both cases, falling back to integrated graphics and unable to replace the graphics card. With the Framework, at least you can remove it and save some weight.
You get the idea.
Ultimately, you’re buying a gen 1 laptop from a startup company for ideological reasons, and likely paying a premium, and most likely it’ll have better repairability and upgradeability. Nothing in life is certain.